Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 8.512316 9.889816 11.371128 13.076905 14.981127 17.035668 19.414063
2025-04-27 6.929176 8.746307 10.826045 13.363073 16.353972 19.747110 23.865845
2025-05-04 5.719679 7.758515 10.219622 13.369301 17.250158 21.831298 27.600009
2025-05-11 4.572486 6.645184 9.276106 12.795137 17.307133 22.823376 29.994381
2025-05-18 3.833984 5.932747 8.719611 12.594560 17.736003 24.210966 32.854542
2025-05-25 3.214182 5.285804 8.157940 12.299369 17.970607 25.307590 35.337383
2025-06-01 2.752846 4.795828 7.744896 12.141587 18.336438 26.545180 38.003763
2025-06-08 2.327269 4.298367 7.260902 11.824959 18.435456 27.397796 40.157994
2025-06-15 2.071016 4.029056 7.078211 11.910739 19.076474 28.980642 43.316047
2025-06-22 1.813956 3.722687 6.804185 11.828495 19.453583 30.193116 45.987892
2025-06-29 1.638808 3.531807 6.689239 11.969195 20.147764 31.857676 49.319191
2025-07-06 1.486919 3.361478 6.588403 12.116375 20.845941 33.538345 52.709356
2025-07-13 1.385180 3.273114 6.618300 12.475202 21.885193 35.754726 56.941980
2025-07-20 1.274857 3.153346 6.581612 12.717712 22.748008 37.733357 60.882132
2025-07-27 1.139341 2.964289 6.404232 12.709493 23.208335 39.120555 63.992045
2025-08-03 0.947225 2.627725 5.926207 12.152288 22.755287 39.106659 65.027977
2025-08-10 0.825053 2.422393 5.670267 11.957319 22.870622 39.947897 67.341013
2025-08-17 0.708528 2.209911 5.378069 11.673095 22.816219 40.513582 69.241259
2025-08-24 0.619835 2.048001 5.168672 11.521326 22.970144 41.399930 71.640217
2025-08-31 0.528497 1.862084 4.889973 11.217529 22.842562 41.826228 73.331493
2025-09-07 0.479709 1.778713 4.818055 11.299693 23.384516 43.335321 76.731530
2025-09-14 0.423940 1.665444 4.669453 11.220804 23.634051 44.371290 79.408210
2025-09-21 0.388785 1.604629 4.631072 11.355692 24.268076 46.050079 83.132997